Category Archives: SuperPower Rankings

My ideas are triumphant!

They probably didn’t get the idea from me, but RealClearSports is using essentially my SuperPower Rankings concept!

But I’d like to make two suggestions for additions: the Sporting News Power Poll and the Fanhouse power rankings. I know you don’t want an even number of power rankings because that facilitates ties, and I would think a prime number would be even better.

OMG! It’s football season! Our lives have meaning!

Who cares about those amateur college scrubs? THE league of record in America is the National Football League, and Da Blog and Morgan Wick’s football site is ready with complete team coverage there as well!

Start with the NFL Lineal Title; as I said last week, it’s analogous to the college football lineal titles, but because of the NFL’s schedule structure there’s rarely more than one at a time, and never more than two. I need to explain something that I forgot to make clear last week: Split titles in the college football lineal title arise from teams going undefeated, or winning the BCS Title Game (which is why LSU gets a new lineal title this year despite not going undefeated). Obviously, it’s exceedingly rare for an NFL team to go undefeated, so what happens instead is that split titles are created when the title holder doesn’t make the playoffs. Obviously, that’s rather rare as well, and the Patriots nabbed the lineal title on their march to an almost-perfect season, so the Giants start the season with the title this year and will defend it against Washington tonight on NBC.

Speaking of which, starting Week 3 or 4, I’ll start my weekly SNF Flex Schedule Watch, which was perhaps the prime contributor of traffic to Da Blog last year, before it was taken over by webcomics. I correctly predicted the Week 12, 14, 15, and 17 games that were moved to primetime as part of NBC’s flexible scheduling, only missing Weeks 11, 13, and 16. I had thought I did the Flex Schedule Watch on Tuesdays last year, but it was actually a Wednesday feature last year so it’s a Wednesday feature this year.

There is a third concept that I used last year: the “SuperPower Rankings”, my experiment in creating a set of “super-power rankings” from the power rankings produced by the eight leading sports sites (ESPN, CBS, Fox, NBC, SI, Yahoo, USA Today, and Sporting News – Yahoo produced two rankings). It proved to be way too much work, so I’m not doing it this year, but I leave the concept open for someone else to pick up the gauntlet.

Getting the house in order when the visitors are already here

So it seems we have a few more readers now than we did a week ago, especially with a second LiveJournal linking to us. Yesterday and the day before, Da Blog had nine times more visitors than it did the day before that, so it seems some housekeeping is in order.

First: RSS feeds. The-zaniak has created a LiveJournal feed for Da Blog, and my response is: Um… you do know Blogger comes with its own RSS feed, right? If you have IE 7 or Firefox, you should see an RSS icon light up when you see the page. (I can only speak to IE there; I don’t know how it works for Firefox.) Unless I get something else cool from having an LJ feed, it seems a bit unnecessary. This has prompted me to add feed links to the sidebar. (If you wanted to create an LJ feed, you’d have done better to create one for Sandsday. I’d create one myself if I knew how to create an RSS feed from a pre-existing MySQL database.)

I’ve also posted in the past on the idea of Da Blog as a collection of sub-blogs, and as such I’ve also added a list of all of Da Blog’s labels to the sidebar. They come complete with their own feeds; this post explains how you can form them. Both those new sidebar items are right below the larger blog archive, which makes them, and Da Blog Poll, less visible.

I’m also re-opening and extending by one week one of Da Blog Poll questions, removing the Random Internet Discovery from the list of options and replacing it with the fairly self-explanatory “Explorations into History”, which could include such things as my opinion on the presidents. Although I have saved the other results to a personal file, if you are one of the three people that have voted on the poll before, I strongly urge doing so again. If you vote “other” I expect you to specify what you have in mind on this post (where you can also learn more about the options) or this one. This is probably the last time I’m going to re-open this particular poll, which has existed in some form almost since Da Blog was founded. I’m also giving you until the end of August 16 to tell me whether you think I should post every time I put up a new strip. You can vote on any or all of the poll questions. I also encourage you to contribute to the poll on the front page of the web site.

Also, after nearly a year since the Web site was put up, I’ve finally deleted the long-dormant Da Blog Poll from the days when Blogger didn’t have its own poll element.

Finally, I’m offering you the chance to have your name in lights, as long as you won’t get paid for it, at least not right away. If you’re a movie buff – and not just the “Spiderman” kind, but one with a real grasp of film history – I invite you to join my 100 Greatest Movies Project, my seemingly endless quest to create the definitive list of greatest movies from all the ones that have come before, to sing the praises of the movies that make the list. E-mail me at mwmailsea at yahoo dot com if you’re interested and I’ll show you a sample write-up and a list of movies that are either on the list or close enough to make it on when I retabulate the list (or at some point in the future when new lists come out). I used the same principle in creating the NFL SuperPower Rankings, and released lists for last year, but it proved to be too much work. If you’re an NFL buff, and you’re willing to put in the work, you can have it for your own website as long as you credit me with the idea, and I’ll link to you on Da Blog.

And if you have any other ideas for what the web site or Da Blog could use, feel free to leave a comment on this post.

UPDATE 7/25: Okay, this is why I have long thought about leaving Blogger, because of unnecessary bullshit. Evidently for the last 24 hours the reposted poll and the two new features were at the top of the sidebar even though I had THOUGHT I had saved their moves. Then when I was told I had changes I hadn’t saved, it wouldn’t save, and then it would tell me “an error occured” no matter what I did after that. lk asfdasilnbg grlkldoe m,x bjfk dsndihtsgugvwbgjwhidxdyf

A Confession

As I’ve said before, it’s a bit of a chore to put out the SuperPower Rankings each week. Therefore, I have made an important decision:

I will not put them out this week.

There’s even less impetus this week than there normally is, I’ve delayed it to Friday already, and there’s a bunch of stuff I’ve been meaning to do over the vacation that I haven’t done, which the SuperPower Rankings would only delay.

But if you want to put together some ratings yourself, look at the following URLs:
http://sports.espn.go.com/nfl/powerranking
http://www.sportsline.com/nfl/powerrankings
http://msn.foxsports.com/nfl/powerRankings
http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/2008/writers/dr_z/01/02/rankins.part1/index.html
http://www.usatoday.com/sports/football/nfl/2007-power-rankings.htm
http://www.sportingnews.com/yourturn/viewtopic.php?t=331743
http://sports.yahoo.com/nfl/news?slug=ys-rankings010108&prov=yhoo&type=lgns
http://www.nbcsports.com/portal/site/nbcsports/menuitem.26521619de8457ec32288a6f8a3c2d04/?vgnextoid=af1c7e8491615110VgnVCM10000082c3d240RCRD&vgnextfmt=default

I still like the idea behind the SuperPower Rankings, but I’m not enjoying it as much as I thought I might. Let’s move onward into the NFL Playoffs and whatever else we look at on Da Blog from here on out.

One last Christmas present for you all…

New SuperPower Rankings, of course, and an update on the Patriots’ blitz through the entire NFL.

The Upset Special for the week is Miami beating the Bengals.

Can someone explain to me why Atlanta is favored over Seattle, even with the Seahawks having nothing to play for?

I was going to add something else really insightful, but I forgot it. But here are the teams that could get each pick of the NFL Draft, in selection order for all rounds. I’m discounting strength of schedule because that’s too hard to look up and I’m not sure of the formula anyway.

  1. Dolphins
  2. Rams/Falcons/Jets/Ravens/Raiders/Chiefs (last three must lose and must have all of first three win)
  3. Rams/Falcons/Jets/Ravens/Raiders/Chiefs (last three must lose and must have two out of first three win)
  4. Rams/Falcons/Jets/Ravens/Raiders/Chiefs (fourth and fifth must lose and must have one out of first three win; Chiefs must lose)
  5. Rams/Falcons/Jets/Ravens/Raiders/Chiefs/49ers (first two must win and must have one out of next three lose; Jets must win; 49ers must lose and must have all of previous three win)
  6. Rams/Falcons/Jets/Ravens/Raiders/Chiefs/49ers (first three must win and must have two out of next three lose; 49ers must lose and must have two out of previous three win)
  7. Rams/Falcons/Jets/Ravens/Raiders/Chiefs/49ers (first three must win and must have all of next three lose; 49ers must lose and must have one out of previous three win)
  8. Ravens/Raiders/Chiefs/Panthers/Bears/Broncos/Bengals/49ers (first three must win and must have 49ers lose; four in-between must lose and must have 49ers win)
  9. Panthers/Bears/Broncos/Bengals/49ers/Lions/Eagles/Texans/Bills/Saints/Cardinals (49ers must win and must have one out of first four lose; last six must lose and must have all of first four win)
  10. Panthers/Bears/Broncos/Bengals/49ers/Lions/Eagles/Texans/Bills/Saints/Cardinals (49ers must win and must have two out of first four lose; last six must lose and must have three of first four win)
  11. Panthers/Bears/Broncos/Bengals/49ers/Lions/Eagles/Texans/Bills/Saints/Cardinals (49ers must win and must have three out of first four lose; last six must lose and must have two out of first four win)
  12. Panthers/Bears/Broncos/Bengals/49ers/Lions/Eagles/Texans/Bills/Saints/Cardinals (49ers must win and must have all of first four lose; Lions, Eagles, Texans, Bills, and Cardinals must lose and must have one out of first four win; Saints must lose)
  13. Panthers/Bears/Broncos/Bengals/Lions/Eagles/Texans/Bills/Saints/Cardinals (Panthers, Broncos, and Bengals must win and must have one out of last six lose; Bears must win)
  14. Panthers/Bears/Broncos/Bengals/Lions/Eagles/Texans/Bills/Saints/Cardinals/Redskins/Vikings (first four must win and must have two out of next six lose; last two must lose and must have five of previous six win)
  15. Panthers/Bears/Broncos/Bengals/Lions/Eagles/Texans/Bills/Saints/Cardinals/Redskins/Vikings (first four must win and must have three out of next six lose; last two must lose and must have four of previous six win)
  16. Panthers/Bears/Broncos/Bengals/Lions/Eagles/Texans/Bills/Saints/Cardinals/Redskins/Vikings (first four must win and must have four out of next six lose; last two must lose and must have three of previous six win)
  17. Panthers/Bears/Broncos/Bengals/Lions/Eagles/Texans/Bills/Saints/Cardinals/Redskins/Vikings (first four must win and must have five out of next six lose; last two must lose and must have two of previous six win)
  18. Browns/Titans/Bucs/Redskins/Vikings/Lions/Eagles/Texans/Bills/Saints/Cardinals (first three must lose and must have both of next two win; Lions, Eagles, Texans, Bills, and Cardinals must win and must have Redskins or Vikings lose)
  19. Browns/Titans/Bucs/Redskins/Vikings/Lions/Eagles/Texans/Bills/Saints/Cardinals (first three must lose and must have one of next two win; Lions, Eagles, Texans, Bills, and Cardinals must win and must have Redskins and Vikings lose; Saints must win and must have Redskins or Vikings lose)
  20. Giants/Seahawks/Chargers/Steelers/Browns/Titans/Bucs/Redskins/Vikings/Saints (first four must lose and must have Bucs and (Browns OR Titans) win; Saints must make playoffs)
  21. Giants/Seahawks/Chargers/Steelers/Browns/Titans/Bucs/Redskins/Vikings (first four must lose and must have one of next three win; last two must win and must have one out of previous three lose)
  22. Jaguars/Giants/Seahawks/Chargers/Steelers/Browns/Titans/Bucs/Redskins/Vikings (Jaguars must lose and must have all of next four win; last two must win and must have two out of previous three lose)
  23. Jaguars/Giants/Seahawks/Chargers/Steelers/Browns/Titans/Bucs/Redskins/Vikings (Jaguars must lose and must have three out of next four win; last two must win and must have all of previous three lose)
  24. Jaguars/Giants/Seahawks/Chargers/Steelers/Browns/Titans/Bucs (Jaguars must lose and must have two out of next four win; last three must win and must have one out of previous four lose)
  25. Jaguars/Giants/Seahawks/Chargers/Steelers/Browns/Titans/Bucs (Jaguars must lose and must have one out of next four win; last three must win and must have two out of previous four lose)
  26. Packers/Jaguars/Giants/Seahawks/Chargers/Steelers/Browns/Titans/Bucs (Packers must lose and must have Jaguars win; last three must win and must have three out of previous four lose)
  27. Colts/Cowboys/Packers/Jaguars/Giants/Seahawks/Chargers/Steelers/Browns/Titans/Bucs (last three must win and must have four preceding all lose; first two must lose and must have Packers win)
  28. Colts/Cowboys/Packers/Jaguars/Giants/Seahawks/Chargers/Steelers (last four must win and must have Jaguars lose)
  29. Colts/Cowboys/Packers/Jaguars (Jaguars must win and must have Packers lose)
  30. Patriots/Colts/Cowboys/Packers (Packers must win and must have Colts lose)
  31. SB loser (Patriots/Colts/Cowboys/Packers/Chargers/Steelers/Seahawks/Bucs/Jaguars/Giants/Browns/Titans/Redskins/Vikings/Saints) (last five must make playoffs)
  32. SB winner (Patriots/Colts/Cowboys/Packers/Chargers/Steelers/Seahawks/Bucs/Jaguars/Giants/Browns/Titans/Redskins/Vikings/Saints) (last five must make playoffs)

New SuperPower Rankings

Some notes:

  • I guarantee that the Lions will remind people of why people liked them so much and why they were 6-2 against the Chiefs.
  • I actually would have picked the Dolphins against the Patriots had they lost because the irony would have been irresistable. Now, though, I don’t think they have a prayer.
  • The Redskins have a two-game winning streak, which poses a problem, because I told myself that if the Redskins continued their Chicago success I would say they would have an inspired run to the playoffs. But they’re playing the Vikings, a team you just don’t dismiss out of hand. Ultimately I’m picking the Redskins in the Upset Special.
  • How do you choose between the collapsing Cardinals and the absolute mess known as the Atlanta Falcons?

New SuperPower Rankings once again

Very briefly: Picking Detroit over San Diego as the Upset Special, because I still believe the Lions are almost as good as everyone thought they were when they were 6-2. No one will look at the schedule and notice that this losing streak has come almost entirely against good, playoff-bound teams.

New rankings and other errata

You know what I just realized? The 2004 Auburn and Utah titles are going to be unified at the Sugar Bowl. Meanwhile, the BCS Title Game won’t involve an undefeated team and neither team holds any lineal title. Arkansas will defend its Princeton Title at the Cotton Bowl (“Just a few days ago, Missouri was playing for a spot in the BCS Championship game. While unsuccessful in that match, they did manage to get into another National Championship Game,” writes HeavyweightFootballChamps.com), and Illinois will defend the 2007 Boise State title in the Rose Bowl. I’m not sure if I should create a new lineal title or not. Heaven knows that both the Princeton and 2004 Auburn titles managed to stay in the SEC all year without being unified, so if Ohio State and Illinois both win their conferences, there’s no guarantee any imaginary “2007 BCS Championship” title would be instantly unified with 2007 Boise State. If LSU wins, and the two SEC titleholders win their bowls, it’s a lot less likely that LSU will completely escape winning a lineal title, or at least its lineage escaping being unified with one.

On the other hand, they may be being forced into going 12 rounds, but nothing’s stopping the Patriots and its run with the NFL Lineal Title, as shown by the latest logo to be X’ed out. But there are definitely concerns. This is now two straight weeks the Pats have been taken to the wire… by a mediocre team. The Steelers are no mediocre team. The Pats’ struggles have shown their defense to be porous against the run, and the Steelers have Willie Parker. And the New Steel Curtain just might be up to the task of stopping Tom Brady.

So the Steelers have no chance.

Maybe I’ve been watching too much wrestling, but New England is going to basically crush the Steelers – and I had been thinking about picking the Steelers just to stop the winning at some point. The point spread, I’ve heard, is -10 New England; I am guaranteeing that the Pats are going to cover and win by at least that much, or I don’t know what I’ll do. Maybe you could suggest something.

Other news and notes:

  • WHY do people keep hyping the fall of the Lions as some sort of “return to reality”? ALL FOUR TEAMS THEY’VE LOST TO IN THIS STREAK ARE LEGIT PLAYOFF CONTENDERS, EVEN THE CARDINALS! No wonder the college football polls don’t take strength of schedule into account (unless it helps them hose a non-BCS team), because no one else in any sport does either! Granted, you can say the same thing about the remaining four opponents, but I still believe in the 10-win guarantee, I’m sticking with it to the end, and win or lose I’m still picking the Lions over the Chargers and Chiefs.
  • It’s Chicago’s turn to win this week. And I’m picking the Redskins to lose for the rest of the season. Exactly what line has the Redskins as a favorite? The Redskins do have the SuperPower Ranking edge, but only barely, so no Upset Special.
  • Picking Houston over Tampa Bay at home as the Upset Special, as the Bucs may be the creation of a weak schedule. A second upset special has the Cardinals beating the Seahawks, as I’m taking that stat from last time and picking the Cards over all >.500 teams (and likely making that the, or at least an, Upset Special) and against them when facing a <.500 team. I might - might – make an exception for the Pats or Dolphins.

Attention

The SuperPower Rankings and the SNF picks are going to be VERY late tonight. I wouldn’t expect them before 10 PST at the earliest.

New SuperPower Rankings

News and notes:

  • Don’t overestimate the impact of the Lions’ three-game losing streak. Two of those games came against teams considered the class of the NFC, and the third was on the road against a Cardinals team that’s one of those “win against good teams, lose against bad ones” types this year. Arizona is 3-1 against teams above .500 but 2-5 against teams below .500. That’s why they’re favored at home against a good Browns team.
  • That said, although I’m picking the Lions over the Vikings, I do so with some trepidation. The Vikings are going to be impossible to pick against without a lot of thought the rest of the way. But I still believe in the 10-Win Guarantee.
  • Psst… the Chargers’ only bad losses are against the Chiefs and Vikings, and the Chiefs were good early and the Vikings are good now. But in my Upset Special, if the Chiefs beat the Chargers on the road, they can do so at home.
  • Two of my patterns went by the wayside, but I’m still picking the Rams for the duration because that was a game they should have won. The Bears are coming off a win and their next game is against… the Giants. Right. I’m now picking the Saints to finish a two-game winning streak and then lose, win, and I don’t know what after that.
  • Want another Upset Special? How about the Raiders, who came within a timeout of beating the Broncos at Mile High, at home? Or Houston beating Tennessee? You don’t think the Texans will remind people of how they looked early with Andre Johnson against the ailing, Haynesworth-less Titans defense?