Last-Minute Remarks on SNF Week 12 Picks

Week 12 (November 26):

  • Tentative game: Green Bay @ Pittsburgh
  • Prospects: 5-4 v. 7-2 and two name teams, very difficult to let go of. For the Packers, beating the Bears on the road without Aaron Rodgers likely saves this game from being flexed out.
  • Likely protections: Broncos-Raiders or Dolphins-Patriots (CBS) and probably Panthers-Jets if anything (FOX).
  • Other possible games mentioned on last week’s Watch and their records: Saints (7-2)-Rams (7-2) and Dolphins (4-4)-Patriots (7-2).
  • Impact of Monday Night Football: The Dolphins are trying to make Dolphins-Patriots a matchup of two teams with records above .500, but with identical records to the tentative.
  • Analysis: As mentioned earlier, any notion of flexing out this game depended on the Packers losing to the Bears and painting a picture of a Packers team in freefall.
  • Final prediction: Green Bay Packers @ Pittsburgh Steelers (no change).

9 Comments

  1. Walt Gekko
    Posted November 13, 2017 at 4:31 am | Permalink

    This is where I still think Packers-Steelers gets flexed out for Saints-Rams.

    If that happens, Packers-Steelers likely goes to 1:00 PM and becomes FOX’s main game on a singleheader game with in my opinion Panthers-Jets likely cross-flexed to CBS so the NFL can show three games in New York on the Sunday after Thanksgiving. You could see Bears-Eagles also cross-flexed to CBS so three games could be shown in Philly that Sunday and FOX can widen the audience for Packers-Steelers.

    This probably would be a win-win for the NFL since FOX would get a rare Steelers game while NBC gets a much bigger matchup of Saints-Rams where NBC would be able to also set up a “meet and greet” with the stars of most of NBC’s prime time shows at the LA Coliseum before the game and have them “be seen at the game.”

  2. Walt Gekko
    Posted November 13, 2017 at 4:41 am | Permalink

    Adding:

    Don’t be surprised if Saints-Rams gets flexed to Sunday night to see Dolphins-Patriots moved to 4:25 on CBS, especially if Panthers-Jets and/or Bears-Eagles get cross-flexed to CBS.

    One other possibility is Packers-Steelers stays on NBC but Saints-Rams is cross-flexed to CBS at 4:25 PM ET.

    I seriously doubt the NFL will leave what likely is its marquee matchup of Week 12 (Saints-Rams) at 4:05 PM ET on FOX where it is restricted to how much of the country can get that game.

  3. Posted November 13, 2017 at 4:55 am | Permalink

    As Walt said, if Saints-Rams gets stuck on FOX, it would be probably be the primary game but blacked out to any market with a FOX game that day at 4pm or 1pm (Philly is included as we play the Bears!)

    Ironically according to the NFL’s new rule that Morgan quoted, if the NFL flexes Saints-Rams into SNF, Packers-Steelers HAS to go to FOX which means that game also has the same problem as the Saints-Rams does now, limited coverage.

    The best solution is Walt’s, cross flex Saints-Rams over to CBS where they can make it the 4:25pm doubleheader game (leave Dolphins-Pats at 1pm where it’s the main early game). Since CBS doesn’t get many Saints or Rams games and FOX gets a ton of them, there shouldn’t be too many complaints from the local FOX affiliates there and almost everyone wins.

  4. Walt Gekko
    Posted November 13, 2017 at 11:20 am | Permalink

    Thought of another possibility:

    Saints-Rams goes to NBC at 8:30, Bears-Eagles goes to CBS as a 4:25 PM ET with that becoming the main national game with Panthers-Jets also moved to CBS as a 1:00 PM ET game to make room for Packers-Steelers as the main singleheader game on FOX.

  5. Jeff
    Posted November 14, 2017 at 11:05 am | Permalink

    So far, no mention of any schedule changes for Week 12 from nflcommunications.com and with my Pack winning on Sunday, I agree with Morgan that Packers(5-4) @ Steelers(7-2) stays as the Sunday Night Football game. The only other choices to me were Buffalo (5-4) @ Kansas City(6-3) and New Orleans(7-2) @ LA Rams (7-2). There are 7 early games and 4 late games, so I see no changes in that part of the schedule. The 4 late games are being hosted by the Rams, 49ers, Raiders, & Cardinals.

  6. Walt Gekko
    Posted November 14, 2017 at 11:42 am | Permalink

    Jeff:

    It may come down to how they can cross-flex games if Packers-Steelers moves to FOX, where it would be the main game on the singleheader week. That likely involves moving (in addition to Saints-Rams to NBC):

    Panthers-Jets to 1:00 PM on CBS
    Bears-Eagles to 4:25 PM on CBS

    You would probably also see Browns-Bengals move to FOX at 1:00 PM and Jaguars-Cardinals to 4:05 PM on FOX to balance things out.

  7. Cory
    Posted November 14, 2017 at 11:58 am | Permalink

    Walt, I still don’t see the NFL doing a complete overhaul on the schedule on multiple games on a holiday weekend. This messes with too many people’s holiday plans/travels that are working the games (stadium employees, TV crews, area police officers, etc) not to mention the fans attending the games. The Packers-Steelers will get NBC just as good of ratings as the Saints-Rams will even with out Rodgers in the mix. In any year, the tentative game on Thanksgiving weekend would have to blow major chunks to get flexed out. It has happened-don’t get me wrong- but I don’t think the Packers-Steelers game is in that bad of shape to warrant it being flexed.

  8. Jeff
    Posted November 14, 2017 at 2:47 pm | Permalink

    I just looked on nflcommunications.com and the final changes for Weeks 12 AND 13 are up and out for release. No changes to Sunday Night Football. However, in Week 12 the Saints @ Rams game is moving to 20 minutes later, 1:25pm Pacific and being cross-flexed to CBS. The Titans @ Colts stays in its early time frame, but is cross-flexed to FOX.

    As for Week 13, there were originally 10 early games and 3 late games. Now it’s 9 and 4 respectively. Carolina @ New Orleans will move to 1:25pm Pacific from the early slot, but stay on FOX. Denver @ Miami will stay in the early slot, but be cross-flexed to FOX.

    So there we have it for the next 3 weeks. Only Weeks 14, 15, & 17 left to be determined for Sunday Night Football. Will we get a full season with no flex? Would only be the 2nd time since this was instituted in 2006.

    Go Pack Go this week at Lambeau vs. the Ravens. Could be a tough one. 🏈😁

  9. Posted November 14, 2017 at 3:40 pm | Permalink

    Hopefully Eagles-Rams will be flexed. No more Steelers-Ravens!

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